Economia do Rosca - Uma Estrutura do Século 21 para o Desenvolvimento Sustentável

Visualização interativa da estrutura da Economia do Rosca de Kate Raworth - compreendendo o espaço seguro e justo para a humanidade entre fundamentos sociais e tetos ecológicos

Baseado na pesquisa de Kate Raworth: "Economia do Rosca: Sete maneiras de pensar como um economista do século 21"

O Modelo do Rosca

O Rosca consiste em dois anéis concêntricos: uma fundação social de bem-estar abaixo da qual ninguém deve cair, e um teto ecológico de pressão planetária que não devemos ultrapassar. Entre esses dois conjuntos de limites está um espaço seguro e justo para a humanidade.

Inner Ring: Social Foundation (12 dimensions)
Outer Ring: Ecological Ceiling (9 boundaries)
Safe & Just Space
Social Shortfall Zone
Ecological Overshoot Zone

Interactive Controls

Social Foundation: 12 Dimensions

The inner ring represents the minimum social standards that every person should have access to. These are the essentials of life that no one should fall below.

Ecological Ceiling: 9 Planetary Boundaries

The outer ring represents the Earth's life-supporting systems. Exceeding these boundaries risks irreversible environmental change.

🌡️

Climate Change

Limiting global warming to safe levels.

EXCEEDED: 1.2C warming above pre-industrial
🦋

Biodiversity Loss

Preventing mass extinction of species.

EXCEEDED: 100x natural extinction rate
🌳

Land System Change

Maintaining forest cover and land ecosystems.

EXCEEDED: 75% of land "substantially altered"
🌊

Freshwater Use

Sustainable water consumption limits.

Approaching limit in many regions
⚗️

Nitrogen & Phosphorus Cycles

Controlling fertilizer runoff and pollution.

EXCEEDED: 2x safe boundary for nitrogen
🐠

Ocean Acidification

Protecting marine ecosystems from CO2 absorption.

Increasing acidity, approaching boundary
☣️

Chemical Pollution

Limiting release of toxic substances.

Unquantified but significant impact
💨

Atmospheric Aerosols

Limiting particle pollution affecting climate.

Regional variations, complex impacts
☀️

Ozone Layer Depletion

Protecting the stratospheric ozone layer.

RECOVERING: Montreal Protocol success

Seven Ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist

Raworth proposes seven fundamental shifts in economic thinking to create economies that are regenerative and distributive by design.

1

Change the Goal

Traditional

GDP growth as the primary objective

New Paradigm

Thriving in balance within the Doughnut

2

See the Big Picture

Traditional

Self-contained market system

New Paradigm

Embedded economy: Economy embedded in Society embedded in Earth's biosphere

3

Nurture Human Nature

Traditional

Rational economic man: selfish, isolated, calculating

New Paradigm

Social, adaptable humans: collaborative, reciprocal, values-driven

4

Get Savvy with Systems

Traditional

Mechanical equilibrium: markets as self-correcting machines

New Paradigm

Complex dynamic systems: feedback loops, tipping points, emergence

5

Design to Distribute

Traditional

Trickle-down: growth will eventually reduce inequality

New Paradigm

Distributive by design: value shared among those who helped create it

6

Create to Regenerate

Traditional

Extractive/degenerative: take-make-use-lose linear economy

New Paradigm

Regenerative by design: circular, restorative, working with living systems

7

Be Agnostic about Growth

Traditional

Growth-addicted: endless GDP growth as necessity

New Paradigm

Growth-agnostic: thriving is the goal, growth is one possible outcome

Mathematical Formulation

The Doughnut model can be expressed as a constrained optimization problem, seeking to maximize human well-being within planetary boundaries.

Objective Function

Maximize human well-being (W):

max W = f(wellbeing)

Social Foundation Constraints

Ensure all 12 social dimensions meet minimum thresholds:

Si ≥ Simin for i = 1, 2, ..., 12

Where Si represents social indicators such as food security, water access, health coverage, education attainment, etc.

Ecological Ceiling Constraints

Ensure all 9 planetary boundaries are respected:

Ej ≤ Ejmax for j = 1, 2, ..., 9

Where Ej represents ecological pressures such as CO2 concentration, biodiversity loss rate, nitrogen runoff, etc.

Policy Implications

No trade-off assumption

Unlike traditional growth-focused economics, the Doughnut does not assume social progress requires ecological degradation.

Feasibility space

The intersection of all constraints defines the "safe and just space" for policy design.

Dynamic boundaries

Both social minimums and ecological maximums may shift over time with technology and knowledge.

Policy Simulator

Adjust policy levers to see their impact on the Doughnut space:

20%
$50
30%
15%
Social Score 65%
Ecological Score 40%
Overall Position Warning Zone

Real-World Applications

Cities, regions, and organizations around the world are applying Doughnut Economics principles to create more sustainable and equitable economies.

🇳🇱

Amsterdam, Netherlands

First City-Wide Doughnut Strategy (2020)

Amsterdam became the first city to officially adopt the Doughnut model as a framework for post-COVID recovery and long-term development.

Key Initiatives:

  • Circular economy strategy targeting construction, food, and consumer goods
  • Housing reforms for affordability and sustainability
  • Local business support for regenerative practices
  • City Doughnut tool for policy assessment

Results:

70% reduction in construction waste targeted by 2025; 20% of procurement to be circular by 2025

🇬🇧

UK Local Authorities

Regional Implementation Network

Multiple UK councils and combined authorities have adopted Doughnut frameworks for local planning.

Key Initiatives:

  • Cornwall Council integrated Doughnut into Climate Emergency response
  • Leeds City Region developed Thriving Places Index
  • Bristol embedded Doughnut in One City Plan
  • Scottish Government exploring Wellbeing Economy approach

Results:

New metrics for measuring progress beyond GDP; cross-sector collaboration on regenerative projects

🌍

Global South Applications

Adapted Frameworks for Developing Contexts

The Doughnut framework is being adapted for contexts where basic needs remain unmet while ecological pressures are already mounting.

Key Initiatives:

  • India: Exploring development pathways that don't follow Western industrialization patterns
  • Colombia: Buen Vivir constitutional recognition aligns with Doughnut principles
  • South Africa: Doughnut framework for just transition from coal
  • Indonesia: Community-based resource management aligned with Doughnut thinking

Results:

Policy frameworks balancing social development with ecological protection; leapfrog opportunities for sustainable infrastructure

🏢

Business & Enterprise

Corporate Applications

Progressive businesses are using Doughnut principles to guide strategy and measure impact.

Key Initiatives:

  • B Corps incorporating Doughnut in impact assessment
  • Patagonia's regenerative agriculture programs
  • Interface's Mission Zero and Climate Take Back
  • Cooperatives and social enterprises using Doughnut for governance

Results:

New business models that are regenerative by design; supply chain transformations toward circularity

Traditional Economics vs Doughnut Economics

A comprehensive comparison of paradigms showing how Doughnut Economics reimagines the purpose and methods of economics.

Dimension Traditional Economics Doughnut Economics
Primary Goal Maximize GDP growth Human thriving within planetary boundaries
View on Growth Growth is essential and can continue indefinitely Growth is one tool; may not always be appropriate
Resource View Natural resources as inputs to be exploited Earth's systems as life-support to be stewarded
Distribution Approach Growth first, distribution later (trickle-down) Distributive by design from the start
Human Nature Rational, self-interested individuals Social, adaptable, values-driven beings
Economy's Place Self-contained system, separate from nature Embedded in society, which is embedded in Earth
Waste Approach Linear: take-make-use-dispose Circular: reduce-reuse-recycle-regenerate
Success Metrics GDP, stock prices, employment rate Well-being indicators, ecological health, equality measures
System Thinking Equilibrium-seeking, mechanical Complex, dynamic, emergent properties
Policy Focus Market efficiency, fiscal balance Regenerative and distributive outcomes

Key Insights

Beyond GDP

The Doughnut challenges the obsession with GDP growth, proposing that thriving within boundaries is more important than endless expansion.

From Extraction to Regeneration

Moving from an economy that extracts and depletes to one that restores and regenerates natural and social systems.

Design Matters

Distribution and regeneration must be built into economic design, not hoped for as side effects of growth.

Both/And Thinking

The Doughnut embraces complexity: we need markets AND commons, private AND public, global AND local solutions.